Skip to content

U.S.–India Tariff Reset: The Deal, the EU Context, and What Comes Next

February 4, 2026

This week’s U.S.– India announcement is not a classic free trade agreement with chapters, annexes, and a thick rulebook. It is something more contemporary to these times, a tariff de-escalation tied to trade policy and paired with a promise of further market opening. The commercial terms are meaningful, but the story is geopolitical, and the operational details will decide how quickly businesses feel it.

The United States has announced that it will lower the tariff applied to most Indian origin goods to 18 percent, down from 50 percent, and will remove a separate 25 percent punitive tariff that had been tied to India’s purchases of Russian oil. In return, India has committed to end or rapidly wind down those purchases, pivoting toward alternative supply, including U.S. crude, and to reduce select tariff and non-tariff barriers, with additional commercial commitments under discussion.

Key Takeaways

  • This is a tariff cut, but it also links market access to energy alignment and broader strategic coordination.
  • Effective dates, product coverage, and U.S. Customs and Border Protection (CBP) entry instructions are still in the works.
  • India’s also recently concluded EU–India free trade agreement (FTA) provides a parallel track, slower, more structural, and built around rules of origin and staged schedules.
  • Early private sector reaction is broadly positive; reduced tariffs and fewer barriers should benefit companies and workers on both sides, and many view this as a first step toward a more comprehensive agreement.

What Was Announced

At the center is a simple reset in tariff posture, the United States steps down from a punitive level, India steps toward a wider opening. The arrangement is framed as immediate relief with follow on tariff reductions, non-tariff barrier reductions, and large commercial purchases, all of which are expected to be clarified as the implementing instruments are published.

What We Are Still Waiting On

For importers and exporters, the question is not whether the announcement is consequential, it is how it will be implemented at the border and in contracts. We are watching for three categories of implementing details.

  • Formal instruments and guidance: where the new rates will be published, how they will be implemented by CBP, and when they apply to entries.
  • Product by product coverage and any exceptions, including interaction with Section 232 duties and other existing tariff programs.
  • Compliance and enforcement mechanics for the oil related commitment, including any snapback feature or modification authority.

How This Plays With the EU–India FTA

By contrast, the EU–India agreement, concluded in late January 2026, reads like a traditional FTA, tariff schedules with rules of origin, customs facilitation, services and digital trade disciplines, and trade remedy guardrails. By the European Commission’s account, liberalization coverage is broad on both sides, with notable sectoral openings and phased reductions across major industrial categories. It is not yet in force, and it will require legal review and ratification steps before preferences can be claimed.

The takeaway for companies is that there are two timelines and two mindsets. Europe offers predictability and phased change over time, while the United States is focused on speed and execution. Once the policy decision is operational, tariffs can change quickly.

The Practical Intersection of the Two Agreements

A few business implications are worth underscoring as planning points for 2026 contracts and supply chain decisions.

  • Two track planning: EU access will be governed by origin rules and staging, U.S. relief will be driven by the implementation of the new rate, and any carve outs.
  • Competitive positioning: Indian exporters may gain U.S. price competitiveness quickly; EU exporters may gain India competitiveness through predictability and staged reductions.
  • Supply chain structuring, firms serving both the EU and the U.S. will increasingly optimize manufacturing footprints to satisfy EU origin requirements while remaining agile for U.S. tariff policy shifts.

What This Means for U.S. Importers

If you import from India, you should rerun your landed cost models but do it with discipline. The move from 50 percent to 18 percent is material, but sector specific duties may still apply, and the phrase “most goods” will not be self-defining. In parallel, review duty allocation and price adjustment clauses, especially in long dated purchase agreements, and prepare for rapid CBP updates in its ACE coding, entry date cutovers, and documentation expectations.

What This Means for Indian Exporters and Indian Companies

For Indian exporters, the opportunity is real, but it will favor the prepared. Early mover advantage often belongs to companies that can quote new pricing immediately, while keeping compliance clean and documentation ready. Technical workstreams will matter as much as tariff numbers, testing, and certifications. And on the EU side, exporters should begin rules of origin mapping now, as preference claims live or die on documentation.

Geopolitics

The oil condition says the quiet part out loud. This is not trade policy focused on tariffs alone, it is trade policy used to shape strategic behavior. The timing is deliberate. The announcement comes as the United States and India deepen coordination on critical minerals and supply-chain resilience, and just as Europe locks in a long-term, rules-based economic partnership with India. Washington is applying pressure, Brussels is offering stability, and India is carefully balancing both as it recalibrates its global economic position.

What Companies Should Do Now

The prudent move is to treat this as a live operational change, not a press release. Most of the work is ordinary, but it is urgent.

  • Map exposure, identify India origin imports, upstream suppliers, and customer pass through risk.
  • Monitor implementation, track White House and Office of U.S. Trade Representative (USTR) announcements and CBP operational guidance for entry dates and tariff coding.
  • Plan contingencies, model a potential snapback or modification scenario tied to oil compliance or broader geopolitical shifts.
  • For EU–India trade, begin origin analysis and documentation planning so you can claim preferences when the agreement enters into force.

Contact Clark Hill

If this development is of interest to your business or if you have questions regarding the content of this alert, please contact any member of Clark Hill’s International Trade Practice for additional details and strategic guidance.

Subscribe here to receive future International Trade alerts directly to your inbox.

This publication is intended for general informational purposes only and does not constitute legal advice or a solicitation to provide legal services. The information in this publication is not intended to create, and receipt of it does not constitute, a lawyer-client relationship. Readers should not act upon this information without seeking professional legal counsel. The views and opinions expressed herein represent those of the individual author only and are not necessarily the views of Clark Hill PLC. Although we attempt to ensure that postings on our website are complete, accurate, and up to date, we assume no responsibility for their completeness, accuracy, or timeliness.

Subscribe for the latest

Subscribe